Updated D1 Severe Weather Outlook for Tuesday, July 7, 2009...

Updated and final D1 SWO will be as follows. Slight Risk has been locally extended in MA/CT/NY and now includes parts of NH/NJ. Slight Risk includes the following counties...

Connecticut: Fairfield, Hartford, Litchfield, Middlesex, New Haven, New London, Tolland, Windham.

Massachusetts: Berkshire, Bristol, Franklin, Hampden, Hampshire, Middlesex, Norfolk, Worcester.

New Hampshire: Cheshire.

New Jersey: Bergen, Essex, Hudson, Hunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex, Monmouth, Morris, Passaic, Somerset, Sussex, Union, Warren.

New York: Albany, Bronx, Chenango, Columbia, Delaware, Dutchess, Fulton, Greene, Hamilton, Herkimer, Kings, Madison, Montgomery, Nassau, New York, Oneida, Orange, Otsego, Putnam, Queens, Renssalaer, Richmond, Rockland, Saratoga, Schenectady, Schoharie, Suffolk, Sullivan, Ulster, Warren, Washington, West Chester.

Rhode Island: Bristol, Kent, Newport, Providence, Washington.

Vermont: Bennington, Windham.

Discussion...

Quick update too adjust Overnight D1 SWO to accommodate recent trends. This includes locally extending Slight Risk area on western/eastern periphery as well as to include the northern half of NJ. First batch of convection that moved thru south central NY/N East PA earlier this morning has organized now pushed into E NY/W MA/S VT/W CT, and will continue moving west into favorable environment across remainder of CT into RI and parts of MA.

Meanwhile, back to the west, storms have reformed to the lee of Lake Ontario across N Central NY. Some of these storms will likely be severe as they tap into pool of modest instability that was relatively untouched by previous convection this morning to the south. These storms will move southeast into E NY this Afternoon and Evening.

Elsewhere into PA, feeling storms will be more isolated, although a few could be severe, especially along and east of I-81 and along and north of I-80. Post-game wrap-up later this Evening.

..EGAN..