Discussion...
We decided to make no significant changes to our map going forward. Introduced 6-12 range in Ohio getting to the PA border where heavier deformation snow occurs prior to the low reestablishing itself near the coast. Speaking of 6-12 inches, we don't expect to see much in the way of any top amounts over 10 inches anywhere. We also highlighted the Laurel Highlands as well as the area of Northeast PA and Central NY which includes the Poconos and Catskills. Here, expecting many areas to stay within 3-7”, however, a few spots in the higher terrain could exceed 7”.
Once again, I think mixing will not be a major issue outside some immediate coastal locations and I continue to think the track of the low itself will have most of the precipitation situated further inland from folks especially in Philly and NYC, thus resulting in lower precipitation totals.
As always, there are a few concerns that potentially may need future adjustment (IE. Dry Slot/Mixing issues etc.), but we have relatively high confidence in this forecast as is. Any final tweaks will be made following 12z runs before action begins picking up in western zones.
..GLUNT/EGAN.. 2/15/10
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