December 8-9 Winter Storm...

Discussion...
Basically expecting Advisory level snow amounts over most of Upstate NY into interior New England. Going with 6-12 amounts in the favored upslope regions and higher terrain of interior Northern New England. The other area of concern is over the Adirondacks of Northern New York State where amounts in excess of 6" may also be quite common. We decided to hold off on a full-blown area of 6-12 up there on the hunch that they we do expect there to be mixing towards the latter stages of the event, and also that QPf amounts may be a tad overdone up there, especially on the GFS. This is something that NWS Burlington mentioned earlier, and we are going to take them up on that.

So, what we ended up doing was keeping overall amounts in the 3-6" Range with the idea that 5-6" amounts should be common, but we also highlighted the Dacks with a empty 6-12" zone meaning we expect there to be isolated amounts exceeding 6", but not widespread enough for a full-blown 6-12" zone.

Here is my educated guess at a more pinpoint accumulation for 10 selected sites on our map...

KBUF- 2"
KUNV- 3"
KAVP- 3"
KSYR- 4"
KBGM- 4"
KALB- 4"
KBDL- 4"
KBTV- 5"
KSLK- 6"
KCAR- 10"

..EGAN.. 12/8/09