Thursday Evening Update: Potent storm system is now getting it's act together across the Midwest, and move east spreading snow into western PA/NY later tonight and Friday morning. During the day Friday, snow should really get going across northern PA/southern NY by late morning... and across the Tri-state/western New England by early afternoon. Storm should begin to pull out into the Atlantic Saturday Morning shutting off precip over eastern New England. Significant snow accumulations are likely across a large chunk of the Northeast.
Across New York/Pennsylvania...Snow fall rates could exceed 1"/hr. cross northern-eastern PA/southern-eastern NY/western New England during Friday afternoon/evening. Heaviest axis of snow should be centered across the Twin Tiers of NY/PA eastward into Catskills/Berkshires/Litchfield-Worcester Hills. Widespread snowfall totals will likely be in the 10-14" range in these areas by the time tapers off. Elsewhere... expecting a widespread area of 6-12" along I-90 from Buffalo-Syracuse-Albany... as well as northern/eastern PA primarily along and north of I-80, and east of I-81.
Across the Tri-State...very tough call in terms of NYC Metro/L.I. ATTM, still appears likely that some mixing will take place with an outside chance of even a changeover to sleet/rain. For this reason... will keep heaviest snows north/west of I-95 for the time being and re-evaluate after 0z runs come in.
Across New England... this will likely be an all snow event... even to the shores of the Long Island Sound. Widespread accumulations of 6-12" are likely...with highest amounts across northern CT/western-central MA in the higher terrain. Winds will also become a bigger player as the storm moves off the coast, especially across southeast MA/Rhode Island/western CT. This will lead to significant blowing/drifting of snow on Friday Night/Saturday Morning.
...LTE
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